Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.329300 2.437514 2.549982 2.675967 2.813606 2.959926 3.127912
2025-11-30 2.159723 2.310173 2.472986 2.663587 2.882341 3.127737 3.427027
2025-12-07 2.009238 2.185132 2.381482 2.619546 2.904121 3.238482 3.669187
2025-12-14 1.866169 2.055029 2.270904 2.539930 2.872255 3.278134 3.826522
2025-12-21 1.794350 2.000600 2.242028 2.551519 2.947347 3.451687 4.171219
2025-12-28 1.745061 1.968146 2.235170 2.586880 3.052390 3.671723 4.608285
2026-01-04 1.661614 1.888443 2.164051 2.533872 3.035267 3.723521 4.810978
2026-01-11 1.614903 1.850840 2.142305 2.541651 3.098214 3.890858 5.212430
2026-01-18 1.582509 1.828800 2.138107 2.570937 3.191618 4.110968 5.738530
2026-01-25 1.533870 1.783262 2.100252 2.550824 3.211022 4.219185 6.092941
2026-02-01 1.480496 1.729087 2.047974 2.506755 3.190454 4.260364 6.330921
2026-02-08 1.422003 1.665930 1.980801 2.437587 3.126371 4.223044 6.408672
2026-02-15 1.380724 1.626953 1.948552 2.422493 3.153460 4.357355 6.903842
2026-02-22 1.347400 1.597340 1.927849 2.423178 3.206127 4.545408 7.583965
2026-03-01 1.305864 1.555122 1.887807 2.392805 3.206336 4.640392 8.090037
2026-03-08 1.256311 1.500319 1.827887 2.329124 3.146403 4.615410 8.291204
2026-03-15 1.234296 1.482110 1.818577 2.341651 3.215406 4.849896 9.301662
2026-03-22 1.219651 1.473283 1.821949 2.373617 3.320755 5.177452 10.806684
2026-03-29 1.183544 1.433359 1.778637 2.329184 3.286024 5.202387 11.324251
2026-04-05 1.164487 1.416554 1.768207 2.336522 3.345794 5.446990 12.867041
2026-04-12 1.151618 1.407886 1.769175 2.362098 3.441780 5.796431 15.282105
2026-04-19 1.128104 1.383279 1.745321 2.345081 3.454327 5.946364 16.953094
2026-04-26 1.100429 1.351927 1.710204 2.307321 3.422895 5.978930 18.025015